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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+8.42vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+5.17vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+7.30vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+3.93vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.02+6.07vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+1.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.01-0.16vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.37vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.20-1.05vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.99-0.86vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.46-3.90vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+0.44vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-1.40vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.77-3.65vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.42-4.94vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.79-6.64vs Predicted
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18Stanford University1.56-5.61vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston1.12-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42University of Miami2.325.2%1st Place
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7.17Georgetown University2.7610.2%1st Place
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10.3Boston College2.345.0%1st Place
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7.93Brown University2.857.4%1st Place
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11.07University of Wisconsin2.023.5%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.4%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.0%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.207.8%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.9%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University1.993.9%1st Place
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8.1Tulane University2.466.1%1st Place
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13.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.241.9%1st Place
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12.6Fordham University1.572.9%1st Place
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11.35University of Rhode Island1.773.5%1st Place
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11.06Roger Williams University2.423.6%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.795.0%1st Place
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12.39Stanford University1.561.9%1st Place
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14.48College of Charleston1.121.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| JC Hermus | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Alex Abate | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 17.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.