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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+2.20vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.04+5.19vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+2.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.71vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18-1.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.40vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58-2.06vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.12+2.65vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.65-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.34-1.77vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.72-3.73vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.18-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-1.04-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Yale University3.740.3%1st Place
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7.19Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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4.32College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.14University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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4.55Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.94Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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11.65Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.27Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.49Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 26.2% | 21.9% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 22.8% | 31.8% | 16.2% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Rachael McCrady | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 22.3% | 30.7% | 14.3% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 17.3% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.