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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+7.00vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+5.59vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+7.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.09vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+2.86vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+4.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90+3.21vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14+1.34vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.43vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.01-4.23vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-0.63vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-5.77vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-2.33vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.27-5.33vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.24vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-7.53vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.65Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.32Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.21University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.77Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.37Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.67Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.47Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 14.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.