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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+9.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+8.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.77+8.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+4.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.99+5.26vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.56+6.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.01-0.12vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.46+0.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.60vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-2.69vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-0.97vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-4.44vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-4.64vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.32-4.61vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-7.02vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.02-4.83vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-3.72vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.57-5.42vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston1.12-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.57Boston College2.343.6%1st Place
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10.98Roger Williams University2.423.8%1st Place
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11.29University of Rhode Island1.773.9%1st Place
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8.1Yale University3.207.3%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University1.994.2%1st Place
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12.26Stanford University1.562.6%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Naval Academy3.019.2%1st Place
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8.08Tulane University2.466.4%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.9%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.909.5%1st Place
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10.03Boston University1.794.7%1st Place
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7.56Georgetown University2.768.1%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.6%1st Place
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9.39University of Miami2.325.6%1st Place
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7.98Brown University2.857.5%1st Place
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11.17University of Wisconsin2.024.2%1st Place
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13.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.8%1st Place
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12.58Fordham University1.572.4%1st Place
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14.33College of Charleston1.121.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% |
| JC Hermus | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Alex Abate | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.