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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.34vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+8.99vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+4.56vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.03vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+1.67vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74+6.05vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71+0.85vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-0.66vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+2.00vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.27+0.03vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-0.24vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-1.26vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.90-1.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.47vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.10-8.77vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-5.20vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-7.54vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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12.05Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.85College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.0Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.03Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.74Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.14University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.23Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.46Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 16.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| Mary Hall | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.