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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Robert Hunter 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 4.9% 5.1% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 4.4% 6.0% 5.7% 6.2% 5.0% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 5.1% 6.0% 3.1%
Henry Burnes 6.8% 7.4% 7.4% 7.0% 7.3% 7.3% 6.9% 6.1% 6.0% 5.5% 5.9% 3.6% 4.5% 3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 2.4% 2.4% 0.9% 1.1%
Micky Munns 3.3% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8% 4.4% 4.5% 4.6% 4.8% 6.1% 6.0% 6.1% 6.5% 7.0% 7.9% 6.3%
Jonathan Bailey 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.5% 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 4.0% 4.1% 4.5% 4.4% 5.5% 5.8% 5.4% 5.8% 6.3% 6.6% 6.8% 7.9% 7.5%
Jack Murphy 4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 5.1% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 4.2% 5.1% 5.1% 6.0% 5.0% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.9% 5.9% 7.3% 5.7% 4.3%
Teddy Nicolosi 9.1% 9.7% 7.9% 8.8% 8.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.1% 5.1% 5.3% 4.8% 4.0% 4.5% 3.3% 2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Gray Benson 3.7% 4.3% 4.1% 3.8% 4.1% 5.0% 4.8% 4.0% 5.0% 3.8% 5.3% 5.3% 5.7% 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 6.2% 6.6% 5.1% 4.4%
Mariner Fagan 10.0% 9.8% 8.2% 8.3% 7.3% 7.8% 7.0% 7.0% 5.6% 5.1% 4.2% 4.9% 4.0% 3.1% 2.5% 1.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Asher Zittrer 3.6% 4.0% 4.2% 3.8% 4.5% 3.6% 4.7% 5.0% 4.8% 5.1% 4.8% 5.3% 5.5% 5.8% 5.0% 5.5% 6.2% 5.9% 7.0% 5.7%
Alex Fasolo 4.0% 4.0% 4.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 3.9% 4.3% 3.9% 5.1% 4.6% 5.1% 5.7% 5.9% 5.8% 6.1% 7.8% 5.5% 5.8% 4.2%
Taft Buckley 3.6% 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 4.7% 5.2% 5.1% 5.9% 5.1% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 7.5% 7.0% 5.1%
James Paul 5.1% 4.5% 5.6% 5.1% 5.1% 5.5% 5.2% 5.9% 5.0% 5.7% 4.8% 6.0% 5.3% 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 5.2% 4.3% 2.9% 2.5%
Max Anker 3.3% 3.9% 3.6% 4.4% 4.3% 5.1% 5.1% 4.2% 5.9% 5.5% 4.5% 5.9% 5.0% 6.7% 6.9% 5.6% 5.5% 5.7% 4.7% 4.2%
Colman Schofield 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 7.0% 7.1% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 5.1% 6.3% 5.3% 4.9% 5.2% 3.7% 4.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Aidan naughton 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 3.9% 3.0% 3.7% 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 4.2% 5.4% 5.7% 6.6% 6.9% 7.3% 11.1% 10.0%
Sam Bruce 5.5% 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 5.8% 6.5% 5.5% 5.6% 5.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.2% 5.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.6% 2.9% 2.3% 1.1%
Porter Kavle 4.3% 3.5% 3.9% 5.1% 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 5.7% 5.1% 5.2% 4.9% 5.2% 6.7% 5.9% 5.5% 7.0% 5.1% 4.0%
Cameron Wood 4.8% 5.3% 5.6% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 4.8% 6.3% 5.6% 5.8% 5.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.8% 4.9% 5.1% 4.9% 4.6% 3.4% 1.9%
Justin Lim 7.6% 6.2% 6.9% 5.3% 5.5% 5.4% 6.3% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 5.9% 5.3% 5.1% 5.1% 3.7% 4.1% 2.9% 3.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Zachary Ward 2.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.5% 7.0% 12.8% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.