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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+9.73vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.31+6.20vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+8.87vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.60+8.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.40+6.10vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92+1.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.97+4.26vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.75-0.97vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.77+2.41vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.03+1.24vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.71vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.95vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.97-1.91vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-6.08vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-2.15vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.03vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.98-5.89vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.07-8.11vs Predicted
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19Stanford University2.41-10.20vs Predicted
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20University of Miami0.84-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.73Boston College2.144.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.316.8%1st Place
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11.87Boston University1.653.3%1st Place
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12.09University of Wisconsin1.602.9%1st Place
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11.1Brown University2.404.3%1st Place
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7.22Yale University2.929.1%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Naval Academy1.973.7%1st Place
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7.03Georgetown University2.7510.0%1st Place
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11.41Tulane University1.773.6%1st Place
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11.24Tufts University2.034.0%1st Place
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11.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.6%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Military Academy2.055.1%1st Place
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11.09College of Charleston1.973.3%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.6%1st Place
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12.85University of Rhode Island2.103.0%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University1.984.3%1st Place
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9.89Roger Williams University2.074.8%1st Place
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8.8Stanford University2.417.6%1st Place
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15.43University of Miami0.842.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
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Robert Hunter | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
Henry Burnes | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
Micky Munns | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
Jonathan Bailey | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% |
Jack Murphy | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
Teddy Nicolosi | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Gray Benson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
Mariner Fagan | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Asher Zittrer | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
Alex Fasolo | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
Taft Buckley | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
James Paul | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
Max Anker | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
Colman Schofield | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Aidan naughton | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% |
Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
Porter Kavle | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
Cameron Wood | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
Justin Lim | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Zachary Ward | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.