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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+10.32vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+8.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+3.29vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+2.85vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.75vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+4.02vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90+3.25vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-2.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.61vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-3.52vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-2.38vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.27-4.56vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.01-8.45vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.14-5.54vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-6.10vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.74-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.97Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.85College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.02Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.25University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.65Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.55Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.46Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.81Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Mary Hall | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.