← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.14+9.17vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.92+4.85vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.97+7.53vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.40+6.67vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Military Academy2.05+4.36vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.77+4.90vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.07+2.54vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+2.98vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.97+1.23vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.65vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.75-4.40vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.98-1.47vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.10-0.90vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.41-5.95vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.65-3.74vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.67vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin1.60-5.83vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.03-7.61vs Predicted
-
19University of Miami0.84-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.17Boston College2.145.2%1st Place
-
6.85Yale University2.9210.2%1st Place
-
10.53U. S. Naval Academy1.974.2%1st Place
-
10.67Brown University2.404.0%1st Place
-
9.36U. S. Military Academy2.055.5%1st Place
-
10.9Tulane University1.773.6%1st Place
-
9.54Roger Williams University2.075.3%1st Place
-
10.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.2%1st Place
-
10.23College of Charleston1.973.9%1st Place
-
7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.5%1st Place
-
6.6Georgetown University2.7511.0%1st Place
-
10.53Fordham University1.984.3%1st Place
-
12.1University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
-
8.05Stanford University2.417.3%1st Place
-
11.26Boston University1.653.1%1st Place
-
8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
-
11.17University of Wisconsin1.603.6%1st Place
-
10.39Tufts University2.035.0%1st Place
-
14.99University of Miami0.841.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gray Benson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| James Paul | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Max Anker | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% |
| Justin Lim | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Zachary Ward | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.