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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+8.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+8.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.48vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.60+7.26vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+4.14vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+6.00vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98+3.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.97+2.62vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.77+1.84vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.75-3.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.60vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.40-1.40vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.92-6.30vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.03-3.40vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-3.89vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.41-7.77vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.97-7.10vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-9.60vs Predicted
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19University of Miami0.58-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Boston College2.144.8%1st Place
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10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.8%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Wisconsin1.604.1%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.075.8%1st Place
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12.0University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
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10.49Fordham University1.984.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Naval Academy1.973.4%1st Place
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10.84Tulane University1.774.5%1st Place
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6.61Georgetown University2.7510.5%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Military Academy2.055.2%1st Place
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10.6Brown University2.404.3%1st Place
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6.7Yale University2.9210.0%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University2.034.4%1st Place
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11.11Boston University1.653.7%1st Place
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8.23Stanford University2.415.9%1st Place
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9.9College of Charleston1.975.7%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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15.76University of Miami0.581.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Hunter | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
Taft Buckley | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
Colman Schofield | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Jonathan Bailey | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
Porter Kavle | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
Gray Benson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
Asher Zittrer | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
Mariner Fagan | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
James Paul | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
Jack Murphy | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Alex Fasolo | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
Justin Lim | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Max Anker | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Magnus Weissenberger | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.