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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+5.53vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+5.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.37vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+6.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.75vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.23vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04+3.75vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.27+1.69vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06+1.69vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.01-3.09vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-3.62vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-3.73vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.47vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.14-3.98vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-5.75vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.90-4.58vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.97-5.86vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.71-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.91Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.02Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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9.25Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.42University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.95Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% |
| Mary Hall | 7.6% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.