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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.77+9.83vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+8.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+7.68vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+5.26vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.60+6.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.97+4.68vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+3.96vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98+2.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.68vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10+1.87vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.41-2.73vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.60vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.92-6.29vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.14-3.87vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.75-8.40vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.03-5.51vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.97-7.11vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-9.55vs Predicted
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19University of Miami0.58-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.83Tulane University1.773.5%1st Place
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10.96Boston University1.654.4%1st Place
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10.68Brown University2.403.8%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University2.075.8%1st Place
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11.23University of Wisconsin1.603.5%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Naval Academy1.974.0%1st Place
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10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.794.3%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University1.983.8%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Military Academy2.055.5%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
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8.27Stanford University2.416.5%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.2%1st Place
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6.71Yale University2.9211.1%1st Place
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10.13Boston College2.144.5%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University2.759.9%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University2.034.9%1st Place
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9.89College of Charleston1.975.5%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
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15.6University of Miami0.581.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Zittrer | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Gray Benson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| James Paul | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| Justin Lim | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Max Anker | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.