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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy2.05+8.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+4.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.97+7.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.91vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+4.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.40+4.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+6.94vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.41-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.60+1.68vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.07-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10+0.69vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.14-2.20vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.92-6.71vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-3.33vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.03-5.08vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.77-5.80vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.43-4.98vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-9.91vs Predicted
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19University of Miami-0.83-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15U. S. Military Academy2.055.2%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University2.7510.9%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Naval Academy1.974.7%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.8%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University1.984.5%1st Place
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10.24Brown University2.404.7%1st Place
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13.94St. Mary's College of Maryland0.901.8%1st Place
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7.62Stanford University2.418.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Wisconsin1.603.9%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.075.8%1st Place
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11.69University of Rhode Island2.103.0%1st Place
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9.8Boston College2.143.9%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.9211.2%1st Place
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10.67Boston University1.654.5%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University2.034.5%1st Place
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10.2Tulane University1.774.4%1st Place
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12.02College of Charleston1.432.9%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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17.91University of Miami-0.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Max Kleha | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 24.8% | 8.9% |
| Justin Lim | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack Howard | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 3.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| James Nappo | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.