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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.61vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+4.47vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+8.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+2.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.12vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38+1.18vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71+3.16vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.71-1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.04-0.10vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-1.25vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-2.46vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.16vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-3.73vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-8.65vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-6.10vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.27-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.47Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.3Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.18Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.16Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.75Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.27University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% |
| Mary Hall | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.