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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.60+9.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.97+8.13vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75+3.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy2.05+5.20vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.77+5.26vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.41+1.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+3.57vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.07-0.09vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.85vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+2.92vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.03-2.06vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.40-3.09vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-3.47vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.14-5.58vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.92-9.45vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.98-7.15vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.43-6.13vs Predicted
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19University of Miami-0.83-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.76University of Wisconsin1.603.4%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Naval Academy1.974.4%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University2.7510.9%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Military Academy2.055.7%1st Place
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10.26Tulane University1.773.2%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University2.417.6%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.2%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University2.075.9%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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13.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.901.9%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University2.033.6%1st Place
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9.91Brown University2.404.3%1st Place
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10.53Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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9.42Boston College2.145.1%1st Place
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6.55Yale University2.9210.6%1st Place
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9.85Fordham University1.984.2%1st Place
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11.87College of Charleston1.433.5%1st Place
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17.95University of Miami-0.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Gray Benson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Paul | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Justin Lim | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 2.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Max Kleha | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 24.1% | 8.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Howard | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 2.7% |
| James Nappo | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.