← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.18vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.20vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.07+6.11vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.43+8.02vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University1.77+5.52vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.92+0.67vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.14+2.63vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.03+2.10vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.41-1.01vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.10+1.67vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.65-0.18vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.98-1.90vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Military Academy2.05-3.73vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.40-3.85vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.75-8.56vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy1.97-5.67vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin1.60-6.23vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-3.52vs Predicted
-
19University of Miami0.84-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.3%1st Place
-
8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
-
9.11Roger Williams University2.075.8%1st Place
-
12.02College of Charleston1.433.0%1st Place
-
10.52Tulane University1.774.1%1st Place
-
6.67Yale University2.929.5%1st Place
-
9.63Boston College2.145.1%1st Place
-
10.1Tufts University2.034.2%1st Place
-
7.99Stanford University2.416.2%1st Place
-
11.67University of Rhode Island2.103.6%1st Place
-
10.82Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
-
10.1Fordham University1.984.9%1st Place
-
9.27U. S. Military Academy2.055.9%1st Place
-
10.15Brown University2.404.7%1st Place
-
6.44Georgetown University2.7511.9%1st Place
-
10.33U. S. Naval Academy1.973.6%1st Place
-
10.77University of Wisconsin1.604.0%1st Place
-
14.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.901.6%1st Place
-
14.57University of Miami0.841.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jack Howard | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Justin Lim | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| James Paul | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gray Benson | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Max Kleha | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 26.5% |
| Zachary Ward | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.