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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+5.60vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+9.31vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+4.57vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.07vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+2.29vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+3.73vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.01-1.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.34vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90+1.60vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-2.98vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-1.31vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.96vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-3.65vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.71-2.92vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-5.19vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii3.04-6.11vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.38-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.31Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.73Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.55Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.6University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.69Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.35Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.08Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.