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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.47+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.13+1.06vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.88+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.92+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-0.41-1.74vs Predicted
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6Davidson College-1.97-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12-0.83vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.44-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24North Carolina State University0.4736.5%1st Place
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3.06University of North Carolina-0.1320.1%1st Place
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4.54Clemson University-0.888.8%1st Place
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4.21University of North Carolina-0.929.2%1st Place
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3.26University of South Carolina-0.4116.9%1st Place
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5.97Davidson College-1.973.2%1st Place
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6.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.122.9%1st Place
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6.55Wake Forest University-2.442.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 36.5% | 28.1% | 19.5% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 20.1% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Emma Gumny | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 16.9% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 26.6% | 22.2% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 25.6% | 28.9% |
| Charles Palmer | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 24.1% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.