Race 8B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Miles Martschink 11.5% 10.9% 11.0% 13.6% 13.9% 12.0% 12.7% 9.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Robert Boger 8.5% 6.7% 9.5% 10.9% 12.9% 15.7% 14.5% 13.1% 6.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Brady Stagg 22.9% 19.6% 19.1% 14.1% 10.9% 7.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Mason 14.1% 16.3% 16.9% 15.4% 13.2% 11.5% 7.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Don Hause III 10.4% 11.5% 12.2% 13.8% 14.2% 13.5% 12.2% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Maxwell Plarr 5.3% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 8.4% 11.6% 16.0% 17.9% 18.1% 6.9% 0.0%
Kathleen Hilton 2.7% 2.6% 4.3% 6.3% 6.8% 10.7% 14.9% 18.4% 21.2% 12.1% 0.0%
Michael Grove 22.3% 22.3% 17.0% 14.5% 11.3% 6.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Boger 8.5% 6.7% 9.5% 10.9% 12.9% 15.7% 14.5% 13.1% 6.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Kimannee Simon 0.8% 1.8% 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 3.1% 4.3% 9.8% 17.6% 56.7% 0.0%
Evgenia Olimpieva 1.5% 3.8% 3.1% 3.6% 5.9% 7.9% 10.3% 16.2% 28.0% 19.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.