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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+4.39vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+3.73vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+1.27vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+3.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+1.65vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.71-1.93vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-0.28vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.04-0.96vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.14-2.90vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-3.12vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.71-3.02vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.27-6.28vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.01-6.08vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.94Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.72Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.1Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.98Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.92Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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11.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% |
| Mary Hall | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 6.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.