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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy2.05+8.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.40+8.48vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+3.54vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.77+6.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+5.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.10vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.07+1.10vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.43+3.02vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.14-0.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.97-0.71vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.98-1.79vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.03-2.74vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.60-2.99vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.75-8.71vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-2.09vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.41-9.05vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.65-7.36vs Predicted
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19University of Miami0.84-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26U. S. Military Academy2.055.4%1st Place
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10.48Brown University2.403.0%1st Place
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6.54Yale University2.9210.7%1st Place
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10.63Tulane University1.773.7%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
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11.73University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.075.1%1st Place
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12.02College of Charleston1.432.8%1st Place
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9.62Boston College2.144.9%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy1.974.4%1st Place
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10.21Fordham University1.984.7%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University2.033.5%1st Place
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11.01University of Wisconsin1.603.5%1st Place
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6.29Georgetown University2.7510.8%1st Place
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13.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.902.3%1st Place
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7.95Stanford University2.418.3%1st Place
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10.64Boston University1.654.5%1st Place
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14.46University of Miami0.841.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Jack Howard | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Gray Benson | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 24.3% |
| Justin Lim | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Ward | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.