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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.84vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.40+8.40vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+7.59vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+5.10vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.97+4.76vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.77+4.79vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.03+3.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65+3.08vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10+1.80vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.41-3.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.56vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.14-3.14vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.97-3.65vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.60-3.96vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.85vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.98-6.83vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-10.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Yale University2.928.8%1st Place
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10.4Brown University2.404.2%1st Place
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10.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.8%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.075.3%1st Place
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9.76College of Charleston1.975.0%1st Place
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10.79Tulane University1.773.9%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University2.034.9%1st Place
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11.08Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University2.7511.2%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island2.103.1%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University2.417.4%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Military Academy2.054.9%1st Place
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9.86Boston College2.145.9%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Naval Academy1.974.2%1st Place
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11.04University of Wisconsin1.603.5%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
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10.17Fordham University1.983.5%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% |
| Taft Buckley | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Max Anker | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% |
| Justin Lim | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| James Paul | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Gray Benson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.