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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.86vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+9.41vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+7.82vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+6.07vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+6.87vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+3.67vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71+0.80vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.48vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.83-1.76vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-3.54vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97+0.08vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-0.80vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-5.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.20vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii3.04-4.41vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.01-9.36vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-6.21vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.90-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.82Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.07Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.87Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.8College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.46Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.08Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.2Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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6.64Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.06University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 16.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.