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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+7.55vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+3.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.70vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04+4.77vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+3.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06+1.64vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97+1.29vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.34vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-3.76vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.14-2.86vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-6.89vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.27-5.31vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.26vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.71-4.80vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.90-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.55Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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6.46Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.64Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.29Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.2Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.14University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 15.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.