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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.97+9.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy2.05+7.18vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75+3.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.31vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.65+5.89vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.14+3.74vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-0.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.40+2.25vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98+1.15vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.61vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.41-2.80vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.07-2.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.84vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.77-3.17vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.03-4.57vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.97-6.31vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.60-5.98vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.10-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy1.974.4%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Military Academy2.055.8%1st Place
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6.58Georgetown University2.759.8%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.8%1st Place
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10.89Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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9.74Boston College2.144.9%1st Place
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6.71Yale University2.9210.8%1st Place
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10.25Brown University2.404.2%1st Place
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10.15Fordham University1.985.1%1st Place
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10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.7%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University2.417.1%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.075.2%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.3%1st Place
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10.83Tulane University1.774.4%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University2.033.6%1st Place
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9.69College of Charleston1.975.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Wisconsin1.603.5%1st Place
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11.83University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| James Paul | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Taft Buckley | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Justin Lim | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% |
| Max Anker | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.