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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+8.90vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.07+6.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+3.29vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy2.05+3.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.05vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98+2.79vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.03+1.91vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75-2.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.97+0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.60-0.23vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-0.66vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.41-5.40vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-0.16vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.43-3.24vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-5.36vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.14-7.43vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.77-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Brown University2.404.8%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.075.8%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.9211.7%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Military Academy2.055.9%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.8%1st Place
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9.79Fordham University1.983.9%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.034.8%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University2.7510.2%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Naval Academy1.974.2%1st Place
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10.77University of Wisconsin1.604.2%1st Place
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11.34University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
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7.6Stanford University2.418.0%1st Place
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13.84St. Mary's College of Maryland0.901.6%1st Place
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11.76College of Charleston1.432.7%1st Place
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10.64Boston University1.653.8%1st Place
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9.57Boston College2.144.5%1st Place
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10.47Tulane University1.774.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| James Paul | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gray Benson | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% |
| Justin Lim | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Max Kleha | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 32.2% |
| Jack Howard | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.