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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.92vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.77+7.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+5.43vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.40+5.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy2.05+2.78vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+4.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.97+2.15vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.43+2.92vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.60+0.71vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-0.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.95vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.75-6.69vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.03-4.29vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-1.15vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.07-7.16vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.41-9.21vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.98-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Yale University2.929.7%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.8%1st Place
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10.5Tulane University1.774.9%1st Place
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9.43Boston College2.144.2%1st Place
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10.07Brown University2.404.3%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Military Academy2.056.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy1.974.1%1st Place
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11.92College of Charleston1.432.4%1st Place
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10.71University of Wisconsin1.603.8%1st Place
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10.39Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.3%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University2.7511.4%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University2.035.1%1st Place
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13.85St. Mary's College of Maryland0.901.7%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University2.075.4%1st Place
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7.79Stanford University2.417.1%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University1.985.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| James Paul | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Gray Benson | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Jack Howard | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Max Kleha | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 30.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Justin Lim | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.