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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.67vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+8.71vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+8.35vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+2.40vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+6.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.18vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+3.76vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.21vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04+1.85vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.02vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.01-4.14vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-5.75vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-3.53vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.63-6.72vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-6.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.74-9.08vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.90-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.71Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.35Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.96Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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12.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.34College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.48Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.31University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 16.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% |
| Lily Katz | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Mary Hall | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.