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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+5.99vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+7.45vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+6.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+2.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10+0.24vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.08vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-2.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.75vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.63-2.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.96vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-3.96vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.07-0.10vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii3.04-4.45vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-5.41vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.44-3.89vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.06-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.45Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.24Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.24Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.04Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.9University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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13.11Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Lily Katz | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Mary Hall | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 30.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 20.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.