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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+8.34vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+9.09vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+3.47vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+6.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.95vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+0.52vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83+0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-0.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.40vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14+0.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-0.37vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-3.89vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-2.55vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.84vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.07-0.80vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-5.37vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.63-8.71vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.44-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.09Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.47Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.11College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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11.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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14.2University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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12.75Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Charlie Bess | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 31.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Lily Katz | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.