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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+3.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+3.08vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+5.64vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.14+4.11vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.07+7.09vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.01-1.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38+0.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.77vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.54vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.27-2.12vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.71-5.42vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.04-3.83vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.06-4.62vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.99vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-6.43vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.44-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.28Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.64Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.11Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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14.09University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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6.4Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.04Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.88Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.58College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.75Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Mary Hall | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 32.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.