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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.10vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+8.83vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46+4.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.12vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+2.93vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+1.78vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+2.87vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+2.94vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.05vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.20-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.51-0.07vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.65+2.29vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.97-4.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.93vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.34-0.18vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-7.26vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-7.55vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.82-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.83Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.03Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.78Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.87Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.93University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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14.29University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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8.71Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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14.82University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.28Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 18.4% | 29.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 17.7% | 36.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.