← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.48vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.26vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.85+1.62vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.70-1.05vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.26-1.28vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University1.97+0.16vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-2.86vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.74-2.41vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-4.86vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University0.60-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
-
3.26U. S. Naval Academy3.670.2%1st Place
-
4.62Old Dominion University2.850.1%1st Place
-
2.95Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
-
3.72Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
-
6.16Christopher Newport University1.970.0%1st Place
-
5.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
-
6.59George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
-
5.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
-
8.09Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 19.7% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Martschink | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 24.9% | 22.2% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 17.3% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 23.4% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 29.1% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 64.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.