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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+8.07vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.41vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+6.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.30vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23+2.89vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.46+1.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+2.67vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+1.42vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32+2.77vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-3.85vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-2.85vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.59vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.58-3.62vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-4.96vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.65-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.51-5.85vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.89Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.01Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.67Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.77Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.04Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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11.15University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Sky Adams | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Kate Klement | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 36.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.