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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+10.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.13vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+7.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.79vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.16vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+3.12vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97+0.89vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+1.68vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.23-1.78vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-2.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.06vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-3.69vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.46-7.23vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.51-4.06vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-7.79vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-7.15vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.65-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.64Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.12Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.22Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.77Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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10.94University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.85Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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14.07University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Lyon | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Sky Adams | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 15.1% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.