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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.32vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+8.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.80vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+4.05vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.53vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+1.76vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.46-1.10vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.23-1.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.34vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.97-1.88vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.74-5.82vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-3.68vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.58-3.63vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.88vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.65-1.68vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.51-5.88vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.12-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.53Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.9Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.79Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.32Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.37Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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11.12University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Katia DaSilva | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 34.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
| Kate Klement | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.