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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+9.76vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+9.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.62vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.46+2.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.94vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+1.77vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+2.83vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97+0.73vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.51+1.73vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-0.27vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-5.00vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34+3.11vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.20-5.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.08vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-5.80vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-7.24vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-8.91vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.59-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.76Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.81Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.83Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.73Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.73University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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9.73Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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15.11University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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7.75College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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14.01University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 43.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Louise Currie | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 20.9% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.