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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.68vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.68vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.73+4.77vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.95vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+3.96vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.46-1.21vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-1.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.65vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-1.55vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34+3.14vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.59+0.97vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-3.48vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.97-6.24vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-5.38vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.02-8.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.88-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.68Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.68Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.77Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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6.79Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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15.14University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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10.52University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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8.76Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 42.7% |
| Louise Currie | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 19.2% | 27.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.