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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.46vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+6.41vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+6.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.76vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+1.00vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.46+1.10vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.42vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.67vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73+0.46vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32+0.99vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-2.07vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.02vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.82-5.28vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-5.07vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.65-2.57vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.23-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.88Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.1Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.46Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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11.99Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.93University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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10.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.72Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.93Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Kate Klement | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 37.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.