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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+7.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.44vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+6.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+7.72vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.51+5.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+2.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-0.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.58vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.23-1.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.21vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+0.50vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.46-4.56vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-4.22vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-3.41vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-7.53vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.65-1.63vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-7.00vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.73-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.97University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.94Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.47Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.37University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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10.0Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.98Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Kate Klement | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 34.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.