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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.00vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+6.14vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+7.11vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.92vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23+2.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+3.49vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+0.95vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+1.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-1.07vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.97-2.02vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.46-4.87vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-2.41vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.65-0.29vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-4.49vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.59vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-5.81vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.34-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.14College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.11Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.71Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.49Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.98Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.13Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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10.59University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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10.51Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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11.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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14.8University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sky Adams | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Katia DaSilva | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 25.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.