Race 10B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Grove 22.5% 21.4% 18.9% 15.3% 10.6% 6.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Don Hause III 7.0% 11.0% 14.8% 14.2% 15.1% 15.2% 12.4% 7.9% 2.4% 0.0%
Andrew Mason 14.4% 17.2% 16.0% 15.4% 13.6% 12.9% 6.9% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Miles Martschink 10.9% 11.2% 13.6% 14.7% 14.9% 14.5% 12.3% 6.3% 1.6% 0.0%
Brady Stagg 26.9% 22.7% 15.3% 12.9% 10.5% 7.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Robert Boger 7.6% 7.8% 11.4% 12.1% 14.2% 16.2% 16.6% 11.6% 2.5% 0.0%
Kathleen Hilton 3.7% 3.6% 3.2% 6.0% 7.9% 11.1% 18.1% 30.9% 15.5% 0.0%
Maxwell Plarr 5.5% 4.2% 5.0% 7.3% 10.5% 13.2% 20.5% 22.7% 11.1% 0.0%
Robert Boger 7.6% 7.8% 11.4% 12.1% 14.2% 16.2% 16.6% 11.6% 2.5% 0.0%
Kimannee Simon 1.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 6.7% 14.9% 66.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.