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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+9.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+3.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+6.56vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+6.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.25vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.23+0.75vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+2.94vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56+1.57vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.34+5.02vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-2.91vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.97-2.82vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.65-0.32vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.10vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-6.40vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.73-6.95vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.46-11.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.56Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.67University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.57Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.09College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.18Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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13.68University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.6Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.05Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.68Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 41.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 23.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Katia DaSilva | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.