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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.65+13.09vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.51+8.97vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+7.42vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+4.14vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+1.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.06vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.36vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.20-1.93vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-5.16vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.66vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-4.54vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.97-5.52vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-5.26vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.06vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.33-5.39vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.58-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.09University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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10.97University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.42Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.14Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.67Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.36Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.48Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.74Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.61Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.29Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 33.2% |
| Colleen Hartman | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.