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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+10.41vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.95vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.02vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+2.86vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+1.95vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+1.38vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32+2.75vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73+0.37vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.23-2.97vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-3.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.72vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.46-7.26vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.65-0.78vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-5.21vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.28vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.51-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.95Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.75Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.37Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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8.03Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.74Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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14.22University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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10.79Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.8University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Lyon | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Kate Klement | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Katia DaSilva | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 34.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.