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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+7.27vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+7.24vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51+8.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+7.60vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.93vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87+3.49vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+2.68vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-0.14vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.46-2.06vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.57vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.75vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-0.92vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.73-3.09vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.60vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-7.10vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.24vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.65-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.24Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.25University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.6Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.49Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.68Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.08Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.91Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Colleen Hartman | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Kate Klement | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.