Race 3B

saisa-women-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lauren Mellinger 3.2% 2.7% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8% 6.6% 8.2% 11.5% 22.6% 33.7%
Sydney Monahan 22.9% 19.8% 16.9% 14.1% 12.0% 6.8% 4.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Nilah Miller 13.0% 13.8% 12.8% 13.6% 13.1% 11.2% 10.7% 7.0% 3.9% 1.0%
Nina Lubchenco 18.4% 18.1% 15.9% 13.7% 11.3% 9.6% 7.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Annika Milstien 5.5% 7.8% 7.0% 9.3% 9.9% 10.3% 13.6% 15.2% 14.4% 6.9%
Clementine Matzky 3.5% 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 7.8% 9.8% 12.4% 17.3% 16.8% 15.6%
Carolyn Staples 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 3.7% 5.0% 5.9% 8.3% 12.2% 21.2% 35.4%
Mary McLauchlin 11.1% 9.8% 11.8% 11.9% 12.7% 12.8% 12.0% 9.8% 6.2% 1.8%
Leah Cody 7.8% 8.6% 9.8% 10.4% 12.4% 14.0% 13.5% 11.6% 8.2% 3.6%
Maartje van Dam 11.9% 11.8% 13.5% 13.0% 12.1% 13.0% 9.9% 8.5% 4.9% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.