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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.83vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+5.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+3.67vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+5.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+6.16vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.97+2.63vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.72-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36-0.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-5.23vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia3.01-2.55vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-7.20vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.08-2.77vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University1.52-2.26vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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6.67Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.23Texas A&M University at Galveston2.080.0%1st Place
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13.74Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.62Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 15.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Michael Grove | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 17.2% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.7% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Trey Hartman | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 19.1% |
| Brian Hickman | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 42.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.