← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.36+3.63vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College4.05+3.46vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.63vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.78+2.41vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan2.97+4.04vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University4.08-0.55vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.65-0.25vs Predicted
-
8University of Virginia3.01+0.90vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.72-2.46vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin3.36-2.15vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.47vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University2.38-1.01vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-1.45vs Predicted
-
15Oregon State University1.52-2.23vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.08-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.63Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
5.46Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
6.63U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
6.41Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
9.04University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
5.45Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.75College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.9University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
6.54Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.85University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
5.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.99Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
11.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
-
12.77Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
-
11.51Texas A&M University at Galveston2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 15.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| William Haeger | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 9.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 12.3% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 19.6% |
| Brian Hickman | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 19.6% | 39.2% |
| Trey Hartman | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.