Race 1A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Grace Cannon 13.9% 13.0% 13.4% 13.6% 12.0% 11.7% 10.5% 8.0% 4.0%
Carter Brock 9.3% 9.0% 10.0% 11.9% 12.3% 13.2% 13.7% 13.2% 7.3%
Stephen Poirier 9.1% 10.2% 10.9% 10.7% 12.0% 13.5% 13.8% 13.5% 6.2%
Gavin Sanborn 11.5% 11.2% 13.1% 13.8% 14.6% 13.4% 10.3% 8.2% 3.9%
Andy Leshaw 7.5% 7.3% 8.8% 8.2% 10.8% 12.2% 15.5% 18.4% 11.2%
Connor Rosow 26.7% 23.2% 17.8% 13.4% 8.8% 6.5% 2.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Ryan Potter 12.6% 15.2% 14.1% 14.7% 13.9% 11.5% 9.9% 6.1% 2.1%
Jack Valentino 7.5% 7.1% 8.7% 9.7% 10.8% 11.8% 14.6% 16.4% 13.4%
Lucie Rochat 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 4.0% 4.7% 6.3% 9.3% 15.0% 51.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.