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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.65+4.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+0.86vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.02+2.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+1.02vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.68-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.72-1.84vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.56-2.43vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.25vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.84-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Northeastern University0.658.9%1st Place
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2.86Tufts University1.5126.1%1st Place
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5.7Bates College0.026.6%1st Place
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5.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.4610.4%1st Place
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4.43University of New Hampshire0.6813.4%1st Place
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4.16University of Vermont0.7213.9%1st Place
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4.57University of Vermont0.5611.9%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.036.1%1st Place
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7.38Middlebury College-0.842.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Carter Brock | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 7.4% |
Connor Rosow | 26.1% | 24.6% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Jack Valentino | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 12.6% |
Stephen Poirier | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 6.6% |
Grace Cannon | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
Ryan Potter | 13.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
Gavin Sanborn | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
Andy Leshaw | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 14.2% |
Lucie Rochat | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.