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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.72+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.68+1.44vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.65+1.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.56-1.41vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.02-1.41vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-2.92vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.84-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Tufts University1.5129.4%1st Place
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4.17University of Vermont0.7214.3%1st Place
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4.44University of New Hampshire0.6811.5%1st Place
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5.1Northeastern University0.658.5%1st Place
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5.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.3%1st Place
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4.59University of Vermont0.5611.7%1st Place
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5.59Bates College0.027.7%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.469.2%1st Place
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7.37Middlebury College-0.842.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Connor Rosow | 29.4% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Ryan Potter | 14.3% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
Grace Cannon | 11.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
Carter Brock | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 7.4% |
Andy Leshaw | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 14.6% |
Gavin Sanborn | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
Jack Valentino | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 11.3% |
Stephen Poirier | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 7.5% |
Lucie Rochat | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.