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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.97+5.89vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+2.79vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+1.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.58vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.72-0.46vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36-2.22vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston2.08+0.57vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia3.01-2.89vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.38-2.06vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.28vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University1.52-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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5.35Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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6.79College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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6.44Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.54Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.57Texas A&M University at Galveston2.080.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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10.94Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.82Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 15.7% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 15.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Trey Hartman | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 20.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.1% |
| Michael Grove | 8.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brian Hickman | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.