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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+3.24vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+2.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.49vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+0.91vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+1.29vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65+0.85vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.04+0.06vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-4.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
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4.48Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.91Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.29Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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4.58Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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4.97Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 12.0% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 21.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 43.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 11.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.