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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.72+3.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+0.83vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.65+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68+0.46vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.02+0.66vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-0.89vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.84+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.56-3.56vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of Vermont0.7214.1%1st Place
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2.83Tufts University1.5127.8%1st Place
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5.19Northeastern University0.657.8%1st Place
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4.46University of New Hampshire0.6812.0%1st Place
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5.66Bates College0.026.8%1st Place
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5.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.468.9%1st Place
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7.38Middlebury College-0.842.3%1st Place
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4.44University of Vermont0.5613.4%1st Place
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5.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.037.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Ryan Potter | 14.1% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
Connor Rosow | 27.8% | 25.0% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Carter Brock | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 7.0% |
Grace Cannon | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
Jack Valentino | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 12.3% |
Stephen Poirier | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% |
Lucie Rochat | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 49.0% |
Gavin Sanborn | 13.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
Andy Leshaw | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.