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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.47vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+4.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+1.54vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+5.48vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-2.27vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01-0.11vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston2.08+1.65vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.36-3.15vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-4.92vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.97-3.74vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University1.52-1.13vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.28Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.72Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.65Texas A&M University at Galveston2.080.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.08College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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12.87Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.81Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| William Haeger | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 16.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Trey Hartman | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 19.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Brian Hickman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 42.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.