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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+5.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.69vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.73+2.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+2.26vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+1.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia2.39+2.01vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.70-3.44vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.54-0.56vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.19-3.70vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan3.02-4.17vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.51-6.99vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University1.47-1.40vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.59College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.23Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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6.56Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.44Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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13.6Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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13.78Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IG Schottlaender | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mary Hall | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Davidson | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Alex Post | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Long | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 8.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Ikeda | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 5.5% |
| Michael Lee | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cody Odou | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 22.5% | 37.4% |
| Jacob Hafemeister | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 21.1% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.