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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+5.59vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+4.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+3.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+1.90vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.73+1.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.42vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.70-1.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.89vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.19-2.19vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.54-1.15vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan3.02-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia2.39-2.54vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University1.47-1.35vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.39Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.04College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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6.03Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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9.85Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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12.65Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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12.73Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Scott Houck | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Long | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Antoine Screve | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Lee | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Ian Ikeda | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 6.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 10.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 24.8% | 35.7% |
| Jacob Hafemeister | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.