Race 1B

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Christian Cushman 14.8% 15.3% 14.2% 14.8% 14.3% 11.7% 8.1% 5.1% 1.7%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 11.6% 13.2% 14.5% 14.4% 14.5% 12.7% 9.8% 7.0% 2.4%
Will Priebe 31.2% 24.5% 17.6% 12.9% 7.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Tyler Egeli 11.8% 13.2% 13.5% 15.4% 14.0% 13.0% 10.4% 6.8% 1.8%
John Divelbiss 4.7% 5.1% 7.2% 8.4% 10.0% 12.2% 18.6% 17.2% 16.4%
Joseph Gehl 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 4.4% 5.9% 7.8% 11.0% 19.4% 42.1%
Jack Cady 7.7% 8.8% 10.1% 10.9% 11.8% 14.4% 16.0% 14.2% 6.2%
Ted Lutton 12.6% 13.2% 13.8% 13.2% 13.8% 14.0% 10.3% 6.5% 2.6%
Thomas Bouchard 3.2% 3.5% 5.2% 5.4% 8.5% 10.4% 13.9% 23.3% 26.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.