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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.71+3.41vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.33vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.71-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.24+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.87-1.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.40-0.30vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.85-0.72vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.67-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Tufts University0.7111.8%1st Place
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4.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7211.8%1st Place
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2.55Northeastern University1.7133.6%1st Place
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5.32University of Vermont0.247.8%1st Place
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3.89University of Vermont0.8714.1%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.154.5%1st Place
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6.7University of New Hampshire-0.403.3%1st Place
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7.28Middlebury College-0.852.2%1st Place
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4.41Bates College0.6710.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Julia Shannon-Grillo | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
Tyler Egeli | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
Will Priebe | 33.6% | 23.4% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Jack Cady | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
Christian Cushman | 14.1% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
John Divelbiss | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 16.9% |
Thomas Bouchard | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 22.8% | 26.9% |
Joseph Gehl | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 20.0% | 40.6% |
Ted Lutton | 10.9% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.