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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.71+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+1.89vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.08vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.71-1.57vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.67-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.40+0.41vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-1.12vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.85-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.87-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Tufts University0.7113.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Vermont0.8713.5%1st Place
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4.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7212.2%1st Place
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2.43Northeastern University1.7134.1%1st Place
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4.18Bates College0.6712.7%1st Place
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6.41University of New Hampshire-0.403.3%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.1%1st Place
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6.99Middlebury College-0.853.4%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont-0.872.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Will Priebe | 34.1% | 25.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 12.7% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 19.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 11.1% |
| Joseph Gehl | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 21.3% | 32.7% |
| Daniel Burger | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 22.1% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.