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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.71+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+1.91vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+1.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.71+0.17vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.87+0.97vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.40-1.63vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.85-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Northeastern University1.7131.8%1st Place
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3.91University of Vermont0.8715.1%1st Place
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4.16Bates College0.6712.5%1st Place
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4.17Tufts University0.7112.0%1st Place
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4.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7212.7%1st Place
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6.97University of Vermont-0.872.6%1st Place
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5.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.156.3%1st Place
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6.37University of New Hampshire-0.404.0%1st Place
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6.98Middlebury College-0.853.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 31.8% | 26.2% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 15.1% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 12.5% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 12.0% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Burger | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 30.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 11.2% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 18.8% |
| Joseph Gehl | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.