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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.05vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.71+0.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.71+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.87-0.31vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.67-1.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-0.50vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.85-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.40-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7213.0%1st Place
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2.42Northeastern University1.7134.2%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University0.7113.0%1st Place
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3.69University of Vermont0.8715.4%1st Place
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3.92Bates College0.6713.2%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.154.7%1st Place
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6.48Middlebury College-0.853.0%1st Place
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6.01University of New Hampshire-0.403.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 13.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Will Priebe | 34.2% | 25.7% | 18.3% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 13.0% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 15.4% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 13.2% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 23.4% | 16.4% |
| Joseph Gehl | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 44.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.