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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+3.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+4.56vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73+2.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.21vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.19+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.17vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.55-1.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-3.12vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan3.02-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia2.39-0.70vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.54-1.89vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.51-6.05vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-1.18vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University1.47-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.88College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.54Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.11Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.95Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.82Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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12.57Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 16.7% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Davidson | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Lee | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Stephen Long | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Michael Popp | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| IG Schottlaender | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 9.6% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.1% |
| Ian Ikeda | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| Alex Post | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Hafemeister | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 22.9% | 39.1% |
| Cody Odou | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 21.5% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.