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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.49+6.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+2.09vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.68+3.90vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+3.11vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+2.39vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.23vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82-0.62vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.78+1.94vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-0.20vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-4.61vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-1.91vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45-0.74vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.53-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.25-1.91vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.39-0.70vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame2.27-4.11vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.66-3.27vs Predicted
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18Clemson University1.66-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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4.09Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.9University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.94Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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5.39Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.09Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.26Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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14.3Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.89University of Notre Dame2.270.0%1st Place
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13.73Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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13.73Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Drumm | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 18.6% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 37.9% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.