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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.87+2.64vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.71+0.38vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+1.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.04vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.43vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.71-1.98vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.85-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.40-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Vermont0.8716.6%1st Place
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2.38Northeastern University1.7135.6%1st Place
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4.08Bates College0.6712.0%1st Place
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3.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7213.1%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.7%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University0.7110.8%1st Place
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6.5Middlebury College-0.852.6%1st Place
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5.99University of New Hampshire-0.403.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 16.6% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Will Priebe | 35.6% | 25.4% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 12.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 22.2% | 16.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 10.8% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Gehl | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 44.1% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 24.7% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.