← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+4.80vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.55+1.94vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.49+4.00vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College3.18+4.24vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.12+0.06vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii3.68+0.50vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.26vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University1.66+4.72vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College2.78+0.44vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.64-3.38vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University3.11-2.69vs Predicted
-
12University of Minnesota2.53-1.76vs Predicted
-
13University of Notre Dame2.27-1.92vs Predicted
-
14Clemson University1.66-1.28vs Predicted
-
15Tulane University1.39-1.61vs Predicted
-
16Washington College2.45-5.34vs Predicted
-
17University of Washington2.25-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.8Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
3.94Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
7.0Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.24Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
5.06Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
6.5University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
-
5.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
12.72Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
9.44Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
-
6.62Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
8.31Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
-
10.24University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
-
11.08University of Notre Dame2.270.0%1st Place
-
12.72Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
13.39Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
-
10.66Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
-
11.24University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 21.3% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 35.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.