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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.06+2.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.78+1.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+0.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.66+0.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.10+0.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.16-2.45vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.25-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.50-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Brown University1.0616.2%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University0.7815.3%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University0.9917.0%1st Place
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4.54Tufts University0.6611.6%1st Place
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5.58Boston University0.106.3%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University1.1618.7%1st Place
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6.04University of New Hampshire-0.254.9%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island0.509.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spencer Dellenbaugh | 16.2% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
Niall Sheridan | 15.3% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
Philip Lengyel | 17.0% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
Meredith Broadus | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 9.7% |
Renato Korzinek | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 24.6% |
Adam Larzelere | 18.7% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
Emily Zaleski | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 36.5% |
Iain Jaeger | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.