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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+3.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+2.96vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+4.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+0.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48-0.06vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.91vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90-0.67vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-3.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.61vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.04-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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4.26Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.33Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 20.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 11.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 13.7% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.