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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+5.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.54+6.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.58+5.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+5.05vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.90+1.71vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.75+1.13vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.69+1.55vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.05+2.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.59-2.15vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.34+3.29vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.77-3.55vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.51vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.85-3.33vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.74-7.73vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.27-3.02vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.23-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Boston College2.1410.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University1.545.1%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College1.585.9%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University1.304.6%1st Place
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6.71Yale University1.909.2%1st Place
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7.13Yale University1.759.7%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University1.695.9%1st Place
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10.25Northeastern University1.053.8%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.666.8%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island1.597.5%1st Place
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14.29Maine Maritime Academy-0.340.9%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University1.775.9%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.7%1st Place
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10.67University of Vermont0.853.7%1st Place
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7.27Boston College1.748.1%1st Place
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12.98Boston University0.271.0%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University0.232.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Perham Black | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Davies | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John Walton | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 15.5% | 44.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Matt Budington | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 21.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.