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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+4.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+4.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+0.84vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+1.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12-0.97vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.68-1.90vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.66+3.29vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11-1.81vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.78-1.85vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.39+0.90vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.66-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.25-3.31vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.53-5.15vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-5.77vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame-0.11-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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3.84Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.03Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.87Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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12.29Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.19Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.15Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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12.9Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.29Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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10.23Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 20.8% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 23.9% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 29.6% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 23.9% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 13.2% | 73.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.